Strong overall but sharply divergent performance by market
In 2025, the market faced several major macroeconomic questions, including the impact of Trump tariffs, the direction of US interest rates, and signs of improvement in China’s domestic economy. Despite less-than-encouraging news on tariffs and China, global markets, notably in Asia, performed robustly in 2025 and continue to do so in 2026.
The MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan Index delivered approximately 30% in total returns (USD terms). These gains were primarily driven by large capitalisation technology companies. For instance, SK Hynix, a leading semiconductor manufacturer, surged by roughly 279% in local currency terms, while Samsung Electronics advanced by about 130%. Consequently, the Korean KOSPI Index outperformed all other regional markets, rising more than 78%.
The MSCI China and Taiwan indices also posted strong performances, each rising over 30% in total USD returns. Technology giants such as TSMC and Alibaba contributed significantly, rallying more than 45% and close to 80% respectively. In contrast, several South East Asian markets, including Thailand, the Philippines, and Malaysia, ended the year with either modest gains or declines (in local currency terms). The limited technology exposure of these indices, coupled with slightly softer domestic demand, weighed on returns. Australia and India also lagged behind the broader region.
Earnings delivery was key in 2025 and will likely remain so in 2026
While technology was a key differentiator, the decisive factor in 2025 was the delivery of earnings relative to expectations. The strong performance of technology stocks, particularly those related to semiconductors, was underpinned by substantial earnings upgrades throughout the year. Initially, demand for High Bandwidth Memory chips used in AI data centres propelled earnings, but as the year progressed, prices for legacy semiconductors also rose sharply.
This dynamic explains why Samsung Electronics, despite its impressive share price gains, is trading at around 10 times 2026 consensus earnings, with SK Hynix at just over mid-single digit multiples. Other beneficiaries of earnings upgrades included TSMC, Hon Hai, Delta Electronics in Taiwan, and Tencent in China.
Notably, a number of non-technology stocks also performed strongly during 2025. Several industrial stocks began the year under the shadow of Trump-related tariffs but delivered robust core business performance. As these companies met or exceeded earnings expectations, their share prices responded positively. Conversely, companies that failed to deliver on earnings saw their shares lag. Despite the recent market turbulence caused by the escalation in the Middle East, we believe that companies' ability to meet or exceed earnings expectations will likely remain a key performance driver moving into 2026.
M&G (Lux) Asian Fund: Strong performance in 2025
Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
The M&G (Lux) Asian Fund delivered a significant outperformance through 2025, largely due to effective stock selection. Performance was driven by a broad array of positive contributors, with six stocks each adding more than 40 basis points in 2025.
Delta Electronics more than doubled in value, benefiting from increased AI-driven demand for its power management systems and substantial earnings upgrades. In Korea, Samsung Life reported steady earnings growth, further supported by the rising value of its Samsung Electronics stake and improved shareholder returns. Both SK Hynix and Samsung Electromechanics enjoyed material earnings upgrades as technology demand surpassed expectations.