We have moved into a new, more uncertain economic regime. In this environment, we expect that economic cycles will be shorter and more volatile, emphasising the need for high diversification across asset classes and regions.
While it has been unclear up to now whether Trump would make good on his campaign pledges in full, we have been wary of the shifting world order for some time. We have been carefully monitoring the rising strategic rivalry between different economic blocs that has been building for a number of years. In our view, tariff uncertainties will ultimately result in a reduction of trade flow between the US and the rest of the world, and accelerate increased trade within and across Asia and emerging markets.
We expect that while fixed income and equities can be diversifying to each other, the prospect of ongoing inflation and financial risks makes real assets attractive. We remain committed to a broad mix of asset classes that generate real cash flows, as they provide genuine diversification in inflationary environments and are relatively uncorrelated to the economic cycle.
This content has been prepared by M&G Life Investment Office (LIO) for information purposes only and does not contain or constitute investment advice. Information provided herein has been obtained from sources that LIO believes to be reliable and accurate at the time of issue but no representation or warranty is made as to its fairness, accuracy, or completeness. The views expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Neither LIO, nor any of its associates, nor any director, or employee accepts any liability for any loss arising directly or indirectly from any use of this document. The value of investments and any income from them may go down as well as up and are not guaranteed. Investors may get back less than the original amount invested and past performance information is not a guide to future performance.
‘M&G Life Investment Office (LIO)’ includes the team formerly known as 'Prudential Portfolio Management Group' (PPMG) and 'M&G Treasury & Investment Office' (T&IO), Prudential Portfolio Management Group Limited, is registered in England and Wales, registered number 2448335.