Outlook
3 min read 6 Mar 26
Please see our glossary for information on the financial terms used in this article.
European stockmarkets rallied sharply in the month, driven by positive earnings news and the desire by some investors to diversify (spread investments to reduce risk) out of the US.
Meanwhile, the UK benefited from its heavy tilt toward sectors such as energy, mining and financials, which all performed well.
Japan was among the month’s strongest performers, as a landslide victory in a snap election called by Prime Minister Takaichi spurred expectations of fiscal stimulus (higher government spending or tax cuts to support the economy).
Elsewhere in Asia, Korea continued to stand out as one of the best performing global markets, buoyed by governance reforms and strong semiconductor (the materials used to make computer chips, which are essential components in almost all modern technology) demand.
US equities (company shares) underperformed, as software and IT services companies experienced sharp falls in value following concerns about the release of new artificial intelligence (AI) tools and poor performance among the so-called “Magnificent-7” (a small group of large, influential US technology companies) stocks.
The US Supreme Court’s rejection of earlier tariff measures and President Trump’s subsequent announcement of a new “global tariff”, with confusion over whether this would be 10% or 15%, created additional uncertainty for investors.
In fixed income (bonds), US Treasuries (US government bonds) responded positively to softer inflation data. January CPI (Consumer Price Index, a key inflation measure) printed at 2.4% year-on-year, compared to 2.7% in the previous month.
UK gilts (UK government bonds) performed well, supported by a cooling labour market, easing inflation (January CPI was 3.0% year-on-year, down from 3.4% in December), and rising expectations of a March interest rate cut. German bunds (German government bonds) also posted gains.
The US dollar strengthened in February, reversing some of its recent losses, while the UK pound weakened on expectations of a near-term Bank of England interest rate cut.
Oil prices rose as the US continued to build up military forces close to Iran, while precious metals and copper continued to record good gains.
The value of investments will fluctuate, which will cause prices to fall as well as rise and you may not get back the original amount you invested. We are unable to give financial advice. If you are unsure about the suitability of your investment, speak to your financial adviser. The views expressed in this article should not be taken as a recommendation, advice or forecast. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
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