While the total return over the last 6 years is comparable depending on the risk level, the returns in each year can vary significantly.
For example, 2022 was a tough year for multi-asset investing where stocks and bonds both fell. PruFund Growth delivered a positive return over this period compared to the MPS which fell between -9% and -7%. In contrast, markets bounced back strongly in 2023. This was captured in the MPS which rose between +7% and +8% but returns for PruFund were lower.
There are two key reasons for the differences in annual returns: the smoothing process used by PruFund and the exposure to private assets.
A smoother journey
A diversified asset allocation goes a long way to dampening the ups and downs of direct stock market movements however the PruFund range has an additional tool: the long established smoothing process. Due to the formulaic nature of the smoothing mechanism, PruFund provides an element of downside protection but will tend to lag the wider market during periods of strong performance.
In the MPS there is no smoothing process, so it follows the ups and downs in the market. This explains why the model portfolios benefit more when the stock market rises (like 2023 and 2019) but also fall more during the down periods.
Private Assets Exposure
A key difference in the asset allocation used by the MPS and PruFund is the exposure to private assets. PruFund has around a third of its investments in less liquid private assets, such as office buildings, private equity, holding the debt of private companies and investing in infrastructure projects. In contrast, the MPS only holds investments in asset classes that can be bought and sold on a daily basis.
Less liquid investments can offer the opportunity for higher returns in exchange for more limited access to your funds – what’s known as the ‘illiquidity premium’. They offer access to high quality assets with different sources of cash flow generation to public markets and consequently lower correlations to a public market portfolio. These types of direct investments require careful selection of managers and naturally come with higher costs.
The values of private assets tend to lag the broader market and do not move as quickly as the value of a share or bond traded daily on an exchange. For example, during 2022 global equities had weak performance because markets reacted quickly to higher inflation and interest rates rising. However, the values of private assets did not fall sharply in 2022. Partly, this reflected the strong linkages such assets are expected to have with inflation over time. But also, valuations are often assessed based on transactions and there were fewer transactions happening that could be used to assess values. In 2023 and 2024 equities recovered with some markets reaching new all-time highs. In private markets, by contrast, returns have been lower as it has taken time for valuations to adjust to the new higher yield environment as the impact on demand becomes clearer. Valuations today for a lot of private assets, particularly real estate, are more attractive which is an encouraging sign for 2025.
When combining MPS and PruFund makes sense
In periods of market volatility, the smoothing mechanism will outweigh the diversification that can be achieved purely from investing in different asset classes and this has shown particularly in recent years when stocks and bonds have often moved up and down together.
PruFund has, over many years, demonstrated its use for clients with a lower tolerance for the daily ups and downs of markets. It provides the benefit of access to the full investment universe across public and private markets available to patient investors, for those that can tolerate the higher cost that comes with direct investments. Other clients may want greater look-through to their investments and can tolerate the volatility of daily pricing, or may be more focused on cost. A useful strategy could be to combine the MPS and PruFund approaches to varying degrees as a client moves through their savings and retirement journey.